Sporting KC II v Minnesota United II

Sporting KC II meet Minnesota United II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Swope Soccer Village, undefined. The model makes Minnesota United II the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 27% SPO, 27% draw, 45% MIN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Minnesota United II, 48% against 28%. Attacking output favors Minnesota United II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Minnesota United II at 62%; double chance reads Sporting KC II or draw 55%, Minnesota United II or draw 73%.

Sporting KC II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Minnesota United II, L 1-6 @ The Town, L 1-2 @ Austin II, L 3-4 @ Minnesota United II.

Minnesota United II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sporting KC II, W 3-2 @ Austin II, L 0-4 @ Houston Dynamo FC II, D 2-2 v Tacoma Defiance.

The market prices SPO at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.