Ventura County v Los Angeles FC II

Ventura County meet Los Angeles FC II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Dignity Health Sports Park, undefined. The model makes Ventura County the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% VEN, 28% draw, 33% LOS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ventura County on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Ventura County at 54%; double chance reads Ventura County or draw 67%, Los Angeles FC II or draw 61%.

Ventura County arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Los Angeles FC II, L 2-3 @ Vancouver Whitecaps II, W 3-1 v Real Monarchs, D 1-1 v Colorado Rapids II.

Los Angeles FC II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Ventura County, D 0-0 v Portland Timbers II, D 2-2 v Real Monarchs, W 3-1 v Houston Dynamo FC II.

Los Angeles FC II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ventura County 2-0 Los Angeles FC II.

The market prices VEN at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.