Where the market is wrong on Houston Dynamo FC II v Colorado Rapids II
Houston Dynamo FC II meet Colorado Rapids II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at SaberCats Stadium, undefined. The model makes Houston Dynamo FC II the most likely outcome at 59%, with the full read 59% HOU, 24% draw, 18% COL.
Houston Dynamo FC II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo FC II, 70% against 23%. Attacking output favors Houston Dynamo FC II on expected goals, 2.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Houston Dynamo FC II at 77%; double chance reads Houston Dynamo FC II or draw 82%, Colorado Rapids II or draw 41%.
Houston Dynamo FC II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Colorado Rapids II, W 2-1 v St. Louis City II, W 4-0 v Minnesota United II, L 1-3 @ Los Angeles FC II.
Colorado Rapids II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Houston Dynamo FC II, W 1-0 v North Texas, L 2-3 @ Austin II, W 1-0 v Vancouver Whitecaps II.
Houston Dynamo FC II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Houston Dynamo FC II 2-1 Colorado Rapids II.
The market prices HOU at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Houston Dynamo FC II: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
