The Town v Tacoma Defiance: the model read
The Town meet Tacoma Defiance in the MLS Next Pro group stage at PayPal Park, undefined. The model makes The Town the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% THE, 29% draw, 29% TAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors The Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans The Town at 59%; double chance reads The Town or draw 71%, Tacoma Defiance or draw 58%.
The Town arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ventura County, L 0-1 v North Texas, L 0-1 v Tacoma Defiance, W 6-1 v Sporting KC II.
Tacoma Defiance are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Colorado Rapids II, W 4-2 @ Real Monarchs, W 1-0 @ The Town, L 0-2 v Portland Timbers II.
Tacoma Defiance hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: The Town 0-1 Tacoma Defiance.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
