The Town v Sporting KC II: the model read
The Town meet Sporting KC II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at PayPal Park, undefined. The model makes The Town the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 55% THE, 24% draw, 21% SPO.
The Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans The Town, 53% against 28%. Attacking output favors The Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans The Town at 73%; double chance reads The Town or draw 79%, Sporting KC II or draw 45%.
The Town arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ventura County, L 0-1 v North Texas, L 0-1 v Tacoma Defiance, W 6-1 v Sporting KC II.
Sporting KC II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Minnesota United II, L 1-6 @ The Town, L 1-2 @ Austin II, L 3-4 @ Minnesota United II.
The Town hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: The Town 6-1 Sporting KC II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
