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Friendlies · Friendly International · World

Canada v Iceland

2-2Full time· BMO Field, Toronto· Referee: J. Freemon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Canada v Iceland: the model read

Canada meet Iceland in the Friendlies friendly international at BMO Field, Toronto.

Canada rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 30%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Canada arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Iceland are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Argentina, L 0-1 @ Japan, D 1-1 @ Haiti, D 2-2 @ Canada.

Iceland hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canada 2-2 Iceland.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Iceland

LDDLL4-4-12

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • LAArgentina0-3
  • LAJapan0-1
  • DAHaiti1-1
  • DACanada2-2
  • LAMexico0-4

Head-to-head

2 meetings

CanadarecordIceland
0
1
1 draw

Goals

2-3

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Canada

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 2-3

Iceland

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 1-0

  • Canada2-2Iceland
  • Iceland1-0Canada

Managers

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

A. Gunnlaugsson

Iceland · 52

In charge since 2025 · 2 teams managed

  • Víkingur Reykjavík2019–2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.