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Primera División · Apertura - 12 · Peru

UCV Moquegua v FC Cajamarca

2-1Full time· Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua· Referee: J. Alarcon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

UCV Moquegua v FC Cajamarca: the model read

UCV Moquegua meet FC Cajamarca in the Primera División apertura - 12 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. The model makes UCV Moquegua the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% UCV, 32% draw, 32% FC .

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans UCV Moquegua, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors FC Cajamarca on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans UCV Moquegua at 53%; double chance reads UCV Moquegua or draw 68%, FC Cajamarca or draw 64%.

UCV Moquegua arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ UTC Cajamarca, D 2-2 v Comerciantes Unidos, D 0-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso, D 0-0 @ FBC Melgar.

FC Cajamarca are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Deportivo Garcilaso, D 2-2 v Juan Pablo II College, L 1-3 @ UTC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Deportivo Llacuabamba.

UCV Moquegua hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UCV Moquegua 2-1 FC Cajamarca.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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UCV Moquegua

WDDDD6-7-7

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • DAUTC Cajamarca0-0
  • DHComerciantes Unidos2-2
  • DHDeportivo Garcilaso0-0
  • DAFBC Melgar0-0
  • WHBentín Tacna Heroica3-2

FC Cajamarca

DDLDL4-6-10

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 70%

  • LADeportivo Garcilaso1-2
  • DHJuan Pablo II College2-2
  • LAUTC Cajamarca1-3
  • DHDeportivo Llacuabamba1-1
  • DHAlianza Lima1-1

Head-to-head

5 meetings

UCV MoqueguarecordFC Cajamarca
3
2
0 draws

Goals

7-6

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

UCV Moquegua

Recent
WLWLW
Wins 3Goals 7-6

Biggest win 2-0

FC Cajamarca

Recent
LWLWL
Wins 2Goals 6-7

Biggest win 2-0

  • UCV Moquegua2-1FC Cajamarca
  • FC Cajamarca2-0UCV Moquegua
  • UCV Moquegua2-1FC Cajamarca
  • FC Cajamarca2-1UCV Moquegua
  • UCV Moquegua2-0FC Cajamarca

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.