Union Magdalena v Patriotas: the model read
Union Magdalena meet Patriotas in the Primera B apertura - 10 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. The model makes Union Magdalena the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% UNI, 30% draw, 23% PAT.
Union Magdalena rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1408. Recent form leans Union Magdalena, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Union Magdalena on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Union Magdalena at 68%; double chance reads Union Magdalena or draw 77%, Patriotas or draw 52%.
Union Magdalena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bogota FC, D 1-1 @ Barranquilla, W 3-0 v Real Cartagena, L 1-2 @ Real Cartagena.
Patriotas are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Llaneros, L 2-3 v Millonarios, D 1-1 @ Depor FC, D 0-0 v Chico.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union Magdalena 2-1 Patriotas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
