Where the market is wrong on Curico Unido v Recoleta
Curico Unido meet Recoleta in the Primera B regular season - 23 at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Curico Unido, 53% against 39%. Attacking output favors Curico Unido on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Curico Unido arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Recoleta, W 2-0 v Union San Felipe, L 0-4 @ Deportes Copiapo, L 1-2 v Deportes Santa Cruz.
Recoleta are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Curico Unido, L 1-3 v O'Higgins, W 2-1 v Deportes Copiapo, D 1-1 @ Deportes Temuco.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Curico Unido 0-0 Recoleta.
The market prices CUR at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
