Where the market is wrong on Deportes Copiapo v Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo meet Curico Unido in the Primera B regular season - 21 at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Curico Unido, 53% against 39%. Attacking output favors Deportes Copiapo on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Curico Unido at 54%; double chance reads Deportes Copiapo or draw 62%, Curico Unido or draw 68%.
Deportes Copiapo arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Recoleta, W 4-0 v Curico Unido, L 0-4 @ Deportes Iquique, D 1-1 v San Luis.
Curico Unido are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Union San Felipe, L 0-4 @ Deportes Copiapo, L 1-2 v Deportes Santa Cruz, D 0-0 @ Rangers de Talca.
Deportes Copiapo hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Copiapo 4-0 Curico Unido.
The market prices DEP at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Curico Unido: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
