Union San Felipe v San Marcos de Arica: the model read
Union San Felipe meet San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B regular season - 5 at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe. The model makes San Marcos de Arica the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 25% UNI, 31% draw, 44% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans San Marcos de Arica, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors San Marcos de Arica on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans San Marcos de Arica at 63%; double chance reads Union San Felipe or draw 56%, San Marcos de Arica or draw 75%.
Union San Felipe arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Santiago Wanderers, D 1-1 v Union La Calera, L 0-2 @ Universidad de Chile, W 2-0 @ Union La Calera.
San Marcos de Arica are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Magallanes, L 1-4 @ Deportes Limache, L 0-1 v Coquimbo Unido, L 1-3 v Deportes Limache.
San Marcos de Arica hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union San Felipe 1-1 San Marcos de Arica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
