Where the market is wrong on Nacka Iliria v Smedby
Nacka Iliria meet Smedby in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand södra svealand - 20.
Smedby rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Smedby, 63% against 33%. Attacking output favors Smedby on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Nacka Iliria arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Smedby, L 1-4 @ Farsta, W 1-0 @ Forward, W 1-0 v Örebro Syrianska.
Smedby are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nacka Iliria, W 3-1 v Forward, D 2-2 @ Syrianska FC, W 1-0 v Eker Örebro.
Smedby hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nacka Iliria 1-1 Smedby.
The market prices NAC at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Smedby: a 21.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
