Where the market is wrong on Lilla Torg v Räppe
Lilla Torg meet Räppe in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland södra götaland - 19.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lilla Torg, 45% against 28%. Attacking output favors Lilla Torg on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Lilla Torg arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Räppe, L 0-2 @ IFK Trelleborg, L 1-4 v Karlskrona, D 1-1 @ Staffanstorp United.
Räppe are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Lilla Torg, D 1-1 v Österlen, L 1-5 @ Linero, L 0-3 v Berga.
Lilla Torg hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lilla Torg 3-1 Räppe.
The market prices LIL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
