Where the market is wrong on Sunnersta v Angby
Sunnersta meet Angby in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand norra svealand - 18.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1675, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 75%. Attacking output favors Sunnersta on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Sunnersta at 58%; double chance reads Sunnersta or draw 70%, Angby or draw 59%.
Sunnersta arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Angby, W 1-0 v Täby, W 3-1 @ Falu BS, W 2-0 v Viggbyholms IK.
Angby are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Sunnersta, D 1-1 v Kungsängen, W 1-0 v Gute, W 3-2 @ Lidingö.
Angby hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sunnersta 2-4 Angby.
The market prices SUN at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Angby: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
