Motala v Vänersborgs FK: the model read
Motala meet Vänersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 14. The model makes Motala the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% MOT, 30% draw, 32% VÄN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors Motala on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Motala at 54%; double chance reads Motala or draw 68%, Vänersborgs FK or draw 62%.
Motala arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Vänersborgs FK, W 3-1 @ IF Karlstad II, D 0-0 v Kumla, L 0-1 @ Herrestads.
Vänersborgs FK are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Motala, L 2-4 v Stenungsund, L 1-3 @ Husqvarna, L 1-3 v Skara.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
