Where the market is wrong on Gyeongnam FC v Paju Citizen
Gyeongnam FC meet Paju Citizen in the K League 2 regular season - 24 at Changwon Football Centre Stadium, Changwon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gyeongnam FC, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Gyeongnam FC on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Gyeongnam FC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Paju Citizen, D 1-1 @ Cheongju, D 1-1 @ Gimhae City, L 0-1 v Daegu FC.
Paju Citizen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Gyeongnam FC, D 1-1 @ Seoul E-Land FC, W 2-1 v Seongnam FC, L 0-1 v Suwon City FC.
The market prices GYE at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output