Yongin City v Hwaseong

Yongin City meet Hwaseong in the K League 2 regular season - 18 at Yongin Mireu Stadium, Yongin. The model makes Hwaseong the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 26% YON, 30% draw, 44% HWA.

Hwaseong rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Hwaseong, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Hwaseong on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Hwaseong at 63%; double chance reads Yongin City or draw 56%, Hwaseong or draw 74%.

Yongin City arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Hwaseong, L 0-2 v Dangjin Citizen, D 1-1 v Cheongju, L 1-2 @ Vietnam.

Hwaseong are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Yongin City, W 4-3 v Yangpyeong, L 1-2 v Paju Citizen, L 1-2 v Suwon Bluewings.

Hwaseong hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yongin City 0-3 Hwaseong.

The market prices YON at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Hwaseong: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.