Valencia v Athletic Club: the model read
Valencia meet Athletic Club in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Athletic Club on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Valencia arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Deportivo La Coruna, L 0-1 v Real Betis, D 0-0 v Celta Vigo, L 0-1 v Teruel.
Athletic Club are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Celta Vigo, L 0-2 @ Barcelona, L 1-3 v Sevilla, L 1-3 @ Zaragoza.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
