Where the market is wrong on Gagra v Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra meet Torpedo Kutaisi in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 25 at David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Torpedo Kutaisi on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Gagra arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Dinamo Tbilisi, D 1-1 v Torpedo Kutaisi, L 0-1 @ Dila, W 2-0 v FC Iberia 1999.
Torpedo Kutaisi are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Samgurali, D 1-1 @ Gagra, D 1-1 v Dinamo Tbilisi, L 0-2 v Meshakhte.
Torpedo Kutaisi hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gagra 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi.
The market prices GAG at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Gagra: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
