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Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 23 · Georgia

Samgurali v Rustavi

1-1Full time· 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo· Referee: B. Bregadze

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Samgurali v Rustavi

Samgurali meet Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 23 at 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rustavi, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors Samgurali on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Samgurali arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Rustavi, L 1-2 @ Dila, W 4-3 @ Spaeri, L 0-4 v Dinamo Batumi.

Rustavi are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Samgurali, W 3-0 v Gagra, W 3-0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi, W 1-0 v Torpedo Kutaisi.

The market prices SAM at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Rustavi: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Samgurali

WLWLD9-4-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DHRustavi1-1
  • LADila1-2
  • WASpaeri4-3
  • LHDinamo Batumi0-4
  • WAMeshakhte2-1

Rustavi

WWWWD12-5-3

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • DASamgurali1-1
  • WHGagra3-0
  • WADinamo Tbilisi3-0
  • WHTorpedo Kutaisi1-0
  • WHSpaeri3-1

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Giorgi Tsetsadze

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.