Breidablik v IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Breidablik meet IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Úrvalsdeild regular season - 16. The model makes Breidablik the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% BRE, 25% draw, 26% IBV.

Breidablik rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1445. Recent form leans Breidablik, 71% against 42%. Attacking output favors Breidablik on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Breidablik at 66%; double chance reads Breidablik or draw 74%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar or draw 51%.

Breidablik arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FH hafnarfjordur, W 2-1 v Keflavik, W 2-1 @ IA Akranes, W 3-0 v Vikingur Reykjavik.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v KA Akureyri, L 2-5 @ KR Reykjavik, W 1-0 v Valur Reykjavik, D 1-1 @ FH hafnarfjordur.

Breidablik hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Breidablik 1-0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

The market prices BRE at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on IBV Vestmannaeyjar: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.