Keflavik v Fram Reykjavik: the model read
Keflavik meet Fram Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild regular season - 13. The model makes Fram Reykjavik the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 30% KEF, 26% draw, 44% FRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fram Reykjavik, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Fram Reykjavik on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 91%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Fram Reykjavik at 59%; double chance reads Keflavik or draw 56%, Fram Reykjavik or draw 70%.
Keflavik arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik, W 5-2 v IA Akranes, L 1-2 @ Breidablik, D 1-1 v Fram Reykjavik.
Fram Reykjavik are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v FH hafnarfjordur, W 3-2 @ Valur Reykjavik, W 6-1 v Thor Akureyri, D 1-1 @ Keflavik.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output