Maccabi Haifa v Kafr Qasim: the model read
Maccabi Haifa meet Kafr Qasim in the State Cup quarter-finals at Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa. The model makes Maccabi Haifa the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% MAC, 30% draw, 28% KAF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Maccabi Haifa, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Haifa on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Maccabi Haifa at 60%; double chance reads Maccabi Haifa or draw 72%, Kafr Qasim or draw 58%.
Maccabi Haifa arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ironi Kiryat Shmona, L 2-3 v Hapoel Haifa, W 2-0 @ Kiryat Yam SC, D 3-3 v Paks.
Kafr Qasim are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Hapoel Afula, D 2-2 @ Hapoel Ra'anana, D 2-2 v Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, D 1-1 v Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Maccabi Haifa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Kafr Qasim.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
