Where the market is wrong on NJ/NY Gotham FC W v Chicago Red Stars W
NJ/NY Gotham FC W meet Chicago Red Stars W in the NWSL Women group stage at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.
NJ/NY Gotham FC W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W, 73% against 20%. Attacking output favors NJ/NY Gotham FC W on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
NJ/NY Gotham FC W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Chicago Red Stars W, W 2-1 @ North Carolina Courage W, W 2-1 @ Racing Louisville W, L 0-3 @ Denver Summit W.
Chicago Red Stars W are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 0-3 v Washington Spirit W, D 1-1 @ Portland Thorns W, L 0-6 v North Carolina Courage W.
NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 3-1 Chicago Red Stars W.
The market prices NJ/ at 82% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
