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NWSL Women · Group Stage · USA

Denver Summit W v Bay FC W

2-2Full time· Centennial Stadium, Commerce City· Referee: Marie Durr, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Denver Summit W v Bay FC W: the model read

Denver Summit W meet Bay FC W in the NWSL Women group stage at Centennial Stadium, Commerce City.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Denver Summit W, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Denver Summit W on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.

Denver Summit W arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Bay FC W, D 3-3 @ Angel City W, W 3-0 v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, W 6-1 v Chicago Red Stars W.

Bay FC W are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Denver Summit W, L 0-2 @ Seattle Reign FC W, L 1-2 v Kansas City W, L 0-1 @ Washington Spirit W.

Bay FC W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Denver Summit W 2-2 Bay FC W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Denver Summit W

LWWDD7-6-7

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • DHBay FC W2-2
  • DAAngel City W3-3
  • WHNJ/NY Gotham FC W3-0
  • WHChicago Red Stars W6-1
  • LAPortland Thorns W0-1

Bay FC W

WLLLD4-5-11

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • DADenver Summit W2-2
  • LASeattle Reign FC W0-2
  • LHKansas City W1-2
  • LAWashington Spirit W0-1
  • WHHouston Dash W1-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Denver Summit WrecordBay FC W
0
1
1 draw

Goals

3-4

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Denver Summit W

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 3-4

Bay FC W

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 4-3

Biggest win 2-1

  • Denver Summit W2-2Bay FC W
  • Bay FC W2-1Denver Summit W

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Emma Coates

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.