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NWSL Women · Group Stage · USA

North Carolina Courage W v Utah Royals W

1-4Full time· WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary· Referee: Marie Durr, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

North Carolina Courage W v Utah Royals W: the model read

North Carolina Courage W meet Utah Royals W in the NWSL Women group stage at WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary. The model makes Utah Royals W the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% NOR, 29% draw, 40% UTA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Utah Royals W, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Utah Royals W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Utah Royals W at 56%; double chance reads North Carolina Courage W or draw 60%, Utah Royals W or draw 69%.

North Carolina Courage W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Utah Royals W, L 0-3 @ Bay FC W, L 0-2 v Washington Spirit W, W 3-1 v Seattle Reign FC W.

Utah Royals W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ North Carolina Courage W, W 1-0 v Orlando Pride W, L 1-3 v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 2-3 @ Chicago Red Stars W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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North Carolina Courage W

WWLLL8-4-8

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LHUtah Royals W1-4
  • LABay FC W0-3
  • LHWashington Spirit W0-2
  • WHSeattle Reign FC W3-1
  • WAAngel City W2-1

Utah Royals W

DLLWW10-4-6

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 65%

  • WANorth Carolina Courage W4-1
  • WHOrlando Pride W1-0
  • LHNJ/NY Gotham FC W1-3
  • LAChicago Red Stars W2-3
  • DAPortland Thorns W2-2

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.