North Carolina Courage W v Washington Spirit W: the model read
North Carolina Courage W meet Washington Spirit W in the NWSL Women group stage at WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary. The model makes Washington Spirit W the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 28% NOR, 30% draw, 42% WAS.
Washington Spirit W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1512. Recent form leans Washington Spirit W, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors North Carolina Courage W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Washington Spirit W at 60%; double chance reads North Carolina Courage W or draw 58%, Washington Spirit W or draw 72%.
North Carolina Courage W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Utah Royals W, L 0-3 @ Bay FC W, L 0-2 v Washington Spirit W, W 3-1 v Seattle Reign FC W.
Washington Spirit W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Utah Royals W, W 1-0 v Denver Summit W, W 2-1 @ Boston Legacy W, L 0-1 @ NJ/NY Gotham FC W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: North Carolina Courage W 0-2 Washington Spirit W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
