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NWSL Women · Group Stage · USA

Racing Louisville W v Bay FC W

0-2Full time· Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville· Referee: Trevor Wiseman, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Racing Louisville W v Bay FC W: the model read

Racing Louisville W meet Bay FC W in the NWSL Women group stage at Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville. The model makes Racing Louisville W the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% RAC, 31% draw, 31% BAY.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Racing Louisville W, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Racing Louisville W on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Racing Louisville W at 56%; double chance reads Racing Louisville W or draw 69%, Bay FC W or draw 62%.

Racing Louisville W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Kansas City W, W 2-1 @ Angel City W, D 1-1 v Houston Dash W, L 0-2 v Bay FC W.

Bay FC W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 0-1 @ Houston Dash W, W 3-0 v North Carolina Courage W, W 2-0 @ Racing Louisville W.

Bay FC W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Racing Louisville W 0-2 Bay FC W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Racing Louisville W

LLDWL8-3-9

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 55%

  • LAKansas City W1-5
  • WAAngel City W2-1
  • DHHouston Dash W1-1
  • LHBay FC W0-2
  • LAPortland Thorns W0-4

Bay FC W

DWWLL5-4-11

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • LHNJ/NY Gotham FC W0-1
  • LAHouston Dash W0-1
  • WHNorth Carolina Courage W3-0
  • WARacing Louisville W2-0
  • DABoston Legacy W2-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Racing Louisville WrecordBay FC W
1
4
0 draws

Goals

1-6

for each

Avg goals

1.4

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Racing Louisville W

Recent
LWLLL
Wins 1Goals 1-6

Biggest win 1-0

Bay FC W

Recent
WLWWW
Wins 4Goals 6-1

Biggest win 2-0

  • Racing Louisville W0-2Bay FC W
  • Racing Louisville W1-0Bay FC W
  • Bay FC W2-0Racing Louisville W
  • Bay FC W1-0Racing Louisville W
  • Racing Louisville W0-1Bay FC W

Managers

C. Holly

Head coach

In charge since 2021

A. Montoya

USA · 50

In charge since 2023 · 3 clubs managed

  • Washington Spirit2022–2022
  • United States U172012–2017

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.