Portland Thorns W v Racing Louisville W: the model read
Portland Thorns W meet Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women group stage at Providence Park, undefined. The model makes Portland Thorns W the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% POR, 30% draw, 29% RAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Portland Thorns W, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Portland Thorns W on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Portland Thorns W at 58%; double chance reads Portland Thorns W or draw 71%, Racing Louisville W or draw 59%.
Portland Thorns W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 1-2 @ Denver Summit W, L 0-2 @ Seattle Reign FC W, W 4-0 v Racing Louisville W.
Racing Louisville W are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Kansas City W, W 2-1 @ Angel City W, D 1-1 v Houston Dash W, L 0-2 v Bay FC W.
Portland Thorns W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portland Thorns W 4-0 Racing Louisville W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
