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Premier League · Regular Season - 20 · Lebanon

Al Ahed v Safa

4-1Full time· Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Al Ahed v Safa: the model read

Al Ahed meet Safa in the Premier League regular season - 20 at Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut.

Safa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Safa, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Safa on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.

Al Ahed arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Jwaaya FC, L 1-2 @ Al Nejmeh, D 1-1 v Al Ansar, L 0-2 @ Jwaaya FC.

Safa are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Al Mabarrah, D 1-1 @ Jwaaya FC, L 1-4 @ Al Ahed, W 4-2 @ Reyady Abaseya.

Al Ahed hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Ahed 4-1 Safa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Al Ahed

LLDLD7-5-8

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DHJwaaya FC2-2
  • LAAl Nejmeh1-2
  • DHAl Ansar1-1
  • LAJwaaya FC0-2
  • LHAl Nejmeh0-2

Safa

WWLDW12-2-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHAl Mabarrah4-0
  • DAJwaaya FC1-1
  • LAAl Ahed1-4
  • WAReyady Abaseya4-2
  • WAShabab Al Sahel1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Al AhedrecordSafa
4
2
4 draws

Goals

14-9

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Al Ahed

Recent
WLWDLD
Wins 4Goals 14-9

Biggest win 4-1

Safa

Recent
LWLDWD
Wins 2Goals 9-14

Biggest win 2-1

  • Al Ahed4-1Safa
  • Al Ahed1-2Safa
  • Safa0-1Al Ahed
  • Al Ahed1-1Safa
  • Al Ahed1-2Safa
  • Safa0-0Al Ahed
  • Al Ahed0-0Safa
  • Al Ahed2-1Safa
  • Safa1-3Al Ahed
  • Al Ahed1-1Safa

Managers

Jamal Al Haj

Lebanon

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Al Nejmeh2016–2017

Hussein Tahan

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.