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Africa Cup of Nations · Final · World

Senegal v Morocco

0-3· Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah, Rabat· Referee: Ndala Ngambo, DR Congo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Senegal v Morocco: the model read

Senegal meet Morocco in the Africa Cup of Nations final at Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah, Rabat.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Morocco, 80% against 63%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Senegal arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ethiopia, D 1-1 @ Mozambique, L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq.

Morocco are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Lesotho, W 2-0 v Gabon, L 0-2 @ France, W 3-0 @ Canada.

Morocco hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Senegal 0-3 Morocco.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Senegal

LWLDW11-3-6

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAEthiopia1-0
  • DAMozambique1-1
  • LABelgium2-3
  • WHIraq5-0
  • LANorway2-3

Morocco

DWLWW13-6-1

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.50 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • WALesotho2-0
  • WHGabon2-0
  • LAFrance0-2
  • WACanada3-0
  • DANetherlands1-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

SenegalrecordMorocco
0
2
1 draw

Goals

2-7

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Senegal

Recent
LDL
Wins 0Goals 2-7

Morocco

Recent
WDW
Wins 2Goals 7-2

Biggest win 3-0

  • Senegal0-3Morocco
  • Morocco1-1Senegal
  • Morocco3-1Senegal

Managers

Patrick Vieira

Head coach

In charge since 2026

M. Ouahbi

Belgium · 49

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Morocco U202024–2026
  • Morocco U192024–2024
  • Morocco U232023–2023
  • Morocco U202022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.