Where the market is wrong on Sioni v Aragvi Dusheti
Sioni meet Aragvi Dusheti in the Erovnuli Liga 2 regular season - 27 at Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aragvi Dusheti, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Aragvi Dusheti on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Sioni arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Aragvi Dusheti, L 1-2 @ Merani Martvili, D 1-1 v Kolkheti Poti, D 3-3 @ Gareji.
Aragvi Dusheti are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sioni, L 0-1 v Odishi 1919, L 1-3 @ Merani Martvili, L 3-4 v Shturmi.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sioni 1-2 Aragvi Dusheti.
The market prices SIO at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Aragvi Dusheti: a 15.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
