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K League 1 · Regular Season - 27 · South-Korea

FC Seoul v Incheon United

1-0Full time· Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul· Referee: Ko Hyung-jin, South Korea

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on FC Seoul v Incheon United

FC Seoul meet Incheon United in the K League 1 regular season - 27 at Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Seoul, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors FC Seoul on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.

FC Seoul arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ulsan Hyundai FC, W 1-0 v Incheon United, W 5-2 @ Gwangju FC, W 1-0 v Bucheon FC 1995.

Incheon United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Bucheon FC 1995, L 0-1 @ FC Seoul, D 1-1 v Jeonbuk Motors, L 1-2 @ FC Anyang.

FC Seoul hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United.

The market prices FC at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Incheon United: a 9.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Seoul

WWWWL11-4-5

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • LAUlsan Hyundai FC0-1
  • WHIncheon United1-0
  • WAGwangju FC5-2
  • WHBucheon FC 19951-0
  • WAFC Anyang7-0

Incheon United

WLDLW8-5-7

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • WHBucheon FC 19952-1
  • LAFC Seoul0-1
  • DHJeonbuk Motors1-1
  • LAFC Anyang1-2
  • WAGwangju FC1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FC SeoulrecordIncheon United
6
2
2 draws

Goals

10-7

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

FC Seoul

Recent
WWWWWD
Wins 6Goals 10-7

Biggest win 1-0

Incheon United

Recent
LLLLLD
Wins 2Goals 7-10

Biggest win 2-0

  • FC Seoul1-0Incheon United
  • FC Seoul1-0Incheon United
  • Incheon United1-2FC Seoul
  • Incheon United0-1FC Seoul
  • Incheon United1-2FC Seoul
  • FC Seoul0-0Incheon United
  • FC Seoul0-1Incheon United
  • Incheon United1-1FC Seoul
  • FC Seoul2-1Incheon United
  • Incheon United2-0FC Seoul

Managers

Kim Gi-Dong

Korea Republic · 53

In charge since 2023 · 2 teams managed

  • Pohang Steelers2019–2023

Jong-Hwan Yoon

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.