FC Anyang v Gwangju FC

FC Anyang meet Gwangju FC in the K League 1 regular season - 18 at Anyang Stadium, Anyang. The model makes FC Anyang the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% FC , 29% draw, 20% GWA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Anyang, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors FC Anyang on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans FC Anyang at 71%; double chance reads FC Anyang or draw 80%, Gwangju FC or draw 50%.

FC Anyang arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Gwangju FC, W 1-0 @ Incheon United, L 2-3 v Pohang Steelers, W 2-1 @ Jeju United FC.

Gwangju FC are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ FC Anyang, L 0-3 v Pohang Steelers, D 1-1 v Ulsan Hyundai FC, L 0-4 @ Incheon United.

Gwangju FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Anyang 1-1 Gwangju FC.

The market prices FC at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.