Marseille v Rennes: the model read
Marseille meet Rennes in the Coupe de France round of 16 at Orange Velodrome, Marseille.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Rennes on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Marseille arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Monaco, W 4-0 v Strasbourg, L 1-2 v Atletico Madrid, W 3-1 v Athletic Club.
Rennes are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Le Mans, D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, L 1-2 @ Sunderland, L 2-4 v Brentford.
Marseille hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Marseille 3-1 Rennes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
