Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Cali: the model read
Deportes Tolima meet Deportivo Cali in the Primera A apertura - 19 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague. The model makes Deportivo Cali the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% DEP, 33% draw, 37% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportivo Cali, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Deportes Tolima on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Cali at 55%; double chance reads Deportes Tolima or draw 63%, Deportivo Cali or draw 70%.
Deportes Tolima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Deportivo Cali are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Jaguares, W 2-0 @ Alianza Lima, W 2-1 @ Real Santander, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
