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Primera A · Apertura - 13 · Colombia

Alianza Valledupar v Deportivo Cali

1-0Full time· Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar· Referee: Jose Bautista, Colombia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Alianza Valledupar v Deportivo Cali: the model read

Alianza Valledupar meet Deportivo Cali in the Primera A apertura - 13 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The model makes Deportivo Cali the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 24% ALI, 32% draw, 44% DEP.

Deportivo Cali rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1454. Recent form leans Deportivo Cali, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Cali on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Cali at 65%; double chance reads Alianza Valledupar or draw 56%, Deportivo Cali or draw 76%.

Alianza Valledupar arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Bucaramanga, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 v Real Santander, D 1-1 @ Popayan.

Deportivo Cali are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Jaguares, W 2-0 @ Alianza Lima, W 2-1 @ Real Santander, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar.

Deportivo Cali hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Valledupar.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Alianza Valledupar

DDWLW5-8-7

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • WHBucaramanga2-1
  • LADeportivo Cali0-1
  • WHReal Santander3-0
  • DAPopayan1-1
  • DHMillonarios2-2

Deportivo Cali

WWWWW11-5-4

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • WHJaguares2-0
  • WAAlianza Lima2-0
  • WAReal Santander2-1
  • WHAlianza Valledupar1-0
  • WAPopayan5-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Alianza ValleduparrecordDeportivo Cali
3
4
3 draws

Goals

12-14

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Alianza Valledupar

Recent
LWWWLD
Wins 3Goals 12-14

Biggest win 2-0

Deportivo Cali

Recent
WLLLWD
Wins 4Goals 14-12

Biggest win 3-0

  • Deportivo Cali1-0Alianza Valledupar
  • Alianza Valledupar1-0Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali0-1Alianza Valledupar
  • Alianza Valledupar2-0Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali1-0Alianza Valledupar
  • Alianza Valledupar3-3Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali1-0Alianza Valledupar
  • Alianza Valledupar0-3Deportivo Cali
  • Alianza Valledupar4-4Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali1-1Alianza Valledupar

Managers

H. Bodhert

Colombia · 53

In charge since 2024 · 12 clubs managed

  • Jaguares de Córdoba2023–2024
  • Independiente Santa Fe2023–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2023–2023
  • Alianza2021–2023

A. Arias

Uruguay · 67

In charge since 2025 · 12 clubs managed

  • Junior2025–2025
  • Independiente Medellín2023–2024
  • Peñarol2022–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2022–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.