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Primera A · Apertura - 6 · Colombia

Llaneros v Deportivo Pasto

0-1Full time· Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio· Referee: Javier Alonso Villa Zapata, Colombia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Llaneros v Deportivo Pasto: the model read

Llaneros meet Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A apertura - 6 at Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio. The model makes Llaneros the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% LLA, 33% draw, 32% DEP.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Pasto on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Llaneros at 52%; double chance reads Llaneros or draw 68%, Deportivo Pasto or draw 65%.

Llaneros arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Pereira, W 1-0 @ Chico, W 3-1 v Patriotas, L 0-1 @ Millonarios.

Deportivo Pasto are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Bogota FC, L 0-2 v Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Deportes Tolima, L 3-4 @ Junior.

Deportivo Pasto hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Llaneros 0-1 Deportivo Pasto.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Llaneros

WLWWW7-7-6

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • WHDeportivo Pereira1-0
  • WAChico1-0
  • WHPatriotas3-1
  • LAMillonarios0-1
  • WHDepor FC3-0

Deportivo Pasto

LLLLL8-4-8

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LHBogota FC0-1
  • LHDeportes Tolima0-2
  • LADeportes Tolima0-1
  • LAJunior3-4
  • LHSanta Fe1-2

Head-to-head

4 meetings

LlanerosrecordDeportivo Pasto
1
3
0 draws

Goals

2-6

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Llaneros

Recent
LWLL
Wins 1Goals 2-6

Biggest win 2-1

Deportivo Pasto

Recent
WLWW
Wins 3Goals 6-2

Biggest win 3-0

  • Llaneros0-1Deportivo Pasto
  • Llaneros2-1Deportivo Pasto
  • Deportivo Pasto3-0Llaneros
  • Deportivo Pasto1-0Llaneros

Managers

J. García

Colombia · 37

In charge since 2025 · 3 clubs managed

  • Águilas Doradas2024–2024
  • Real Santander2019–2023

C. Ayala

Colombia · 39

In charge since 2024

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.