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Primera A · Apertura - 3 · Colombia

Cucuta v Bucaramanga

2-2Full time· Estadio General Santander, Cucuta· Referee: Luis Delgado, Colombia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cucuta v Bucaramanga: the model read

Cucuta meet Bucaramanga in the Primera A apertura - 3 at Estadio General Santander, Cucuta. The model makes Bucaramanga the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 30% CUC, 31% draw, 39% BUC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 35%. Attacking output favors Bucaramanga on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Bucaramanga at 57%; double chance reads Cucuta or draw 61%, Bucaramanga or draw 70%.

Cucuta arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Independiente Medellin, D 0-0 v Fortaleza FC, D 0-0 v Leones FC, D 1-1 @ Orsomarso.

Bucaramanga are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Alianza Valledupar, L 2-3 v Popayan, L 0-2 @ Deportivo Cali, W 5-0 v Real Santander.

Bucaramanga hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cucuta 2-2 Bucaramanga.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cucuta

LDDDL3-9-8

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LAIndependiente Medellin1-2
  • DHFortaleza FC0-0
  • DHLeones FC0-0
  • DAOrsomarso1-1
  • LAJaguares0-2

Bucaramanga

LWLLL4-6-10

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • LAAlianza Valledupar1-2
  • LHPopayan2-3
  • LADeportivo Cali0-2
  • WHReal Santander5-0
  • LAFortaleza FC1-2

Head-to-head

9 meetings

CucutarecordBucaramanga
2
4
3 draws

Goals

9-11

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Cucuta

Recent
DLLWLD
Wins 2Goals 9-11

Biggest win 2-0

Bucaramanga

Recent
DWWLWD
Wins 4Goals 11-9

Biggest win 2-0

  • Cucuta2-2Bucaramanga
  • Bucaramanga1-0Cucuta
  • Cucuta0-1Bucaramanga
  • Cucuta2-0Bucaramanga
  • Bucaramanga2-0Cucuta
  • Bucaramanga2-2Cucuta
  • Cucuta0-0Bucaramanga
  • Bucaramanga1-0Cucuta
  • Cucuta3-2Bucaramanga

Managers

Jairo Patiño

Colombia · 41

In charge since 2020 · 4 clubs managed

  • Bogota FC2019–2019
  • Llaneros2017–2018

S. Novoa

Colombia · 44

In charge since 2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.