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Africa Cup of Nations · Semi-finals · World

Nigeria v Morocco

0-0Full time· Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah, Rabat· Referee: Daniel Laryea, Ghana

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nigeria v Morocco: the model read

Nigeria meet Morocco in the Africa Cup of Nations semi-finals at Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah, Rabat.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Morocco, 80% against 71%. Attacking output favors Nigeria on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Nigeria arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Guinea-Bissau, W 2-1 v Madagascar, L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland.

Morocco are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Lesotho, W 2-0 v Gabon, L 0-2 @ France, W 3-0 @ Canada.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nigeria

WDLWL11-5-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 57.9%

  • LAGuinea-Bissau0-3
  • WHMadagascar2-1
  • LAPortugal1-2
  • DAPoland2-2
  • WAJamaica3-0

Morocco

DWLWW13-6-1

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.50 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • WALesotho2-0
  • WHGabon2-0
  • LAFrance0-2
  • WACanada3-0
  • DANetherlands1-1

Managers

É. Chelle

Mali · 48

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • MC Oran2024–2025
  • Nigeria2023–2023
  • Mali2022–2024
  • Boulogne2021–2021

M. Ouahbi

Belgium · 49

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Morocco U202024–2026
  • Morocco U192024–2024
  • Morocco U232023–2023
  • Morocco U202022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.