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Africa Cup of Nations · Semi-finals · World

Senegal v Egypt

1-0Full time· Stade Ibn-Batouta, Tanger· Referee: Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Senegal v Egypt: the model read

Senegal meet Egypt in the Africa Cup of Nations semi-finals at Stade Ibn-Batouta, Tanger.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.

Senegal arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ethiopia, D 1-1 @ Mozambique, L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq.

Egypt are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ South Sudan, D 0-0 v Angola, L 2-3 @ Argentina, D 1-1 @ Australia.

Senegal hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Senegal 1-0 Egypt.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Senegal

LWLDW11-3-6

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAEthiopia1-0
  • DAMozambique1-1
  • LABelgium2-3
  • WHIraq5-0
  • LANorway2-3

Egypt

DDLDW9-7-4

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • WASouth Sudan5-0
  • DHAngola0-0
  • LAArgentina2-3
  • DAAustralia1-1
  • DHIran1-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

SenegalrecordEgypt
2
1
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

0.8

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Senegal

Recent
WWLD
Wins 2Goals 2-1

Biggest win 1-0

Egypt

Recent
LLWD
Wins 1Goals 1-2

Biggest win 1-0

  • Senegal1-0Egypt
  • Senegal1-0Egypt
  • Egypt1-0Senegal
  • Senegal0-0Egypt

Managers

Patrick Vieira

Head coach

In charge since 2026

H. Hassan

Tunisia

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.