Union La Calera v Everton de Vina: the model read
Union La Calera meet Everton de Vina in the Primera División regular season - 16. The model makes Union La Calera the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% UNI, 31% draw, 34% EVE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Everton de Vina on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Union La Calera at 50%; double chance reads Union La Calera or draw 66%, Everton de Vina or draw 65%.
Union La Calera arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Coquimbo Unido, L 0-1 v Coquimbo Unido, D 1-1 @ Union San Felipe, W 1-0 @ Universidad de Chile.
Everton de Vina are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Deportes Copiapo, D 2-2 @ San Luis, L 1-2 @ U. Catolica, W 3-0 v Deportes Copiapo.
Union La Calera hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Everton de Vina 0-1 Union La Calera.
The market prices UNI at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Everton de Vina: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
