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Division Profesional - Apertura · Apertura - 22 · Paraguay

Deportivo Recoleta v Club Guarani

2-1Full time· Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asuncion· Referee: M. D. de Vivar

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Deportivo Recoleta v Club Guarani: the model read

Deportivo Recoleta meet Club Guarani in the Division Profesional - Apertura apertura - 22 at Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asuncion. The model makes Deportivo Recoleta the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% DEP, 32% draw, 32% CLU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Recoleta on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Recoleta at 53%; double chance reads Deportivo Recoleta or draw 68%, Club Guarani or draw 64%.

Deportivo Recoleta arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Club Sp. San Lorenzo, W 1-0 @ San Lorenzo, W 2-1 v Club Guarani, D 2-2 @ Deportivo Cuenca.

Club Guarani are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sportivo Luqueno, L 1-2 @ Deportivo Recoleta, W 1-0 v Sportivo Ameliano, D 0-0 @ Cerro Porteno.

Club Guarani hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Club Guarani.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Deportivo Recoleta

LDWWD6-6-8

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • DHClub Sp. San Lorenzo1-1
  • WASan Lorenzo1-0
  • WHClub Guarani2-1
  • DADeportivo Cuenca2-2
  • LAOlimpia2-3

Club Guarani

LDWLL5-7-8

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • LHSportivo Luqueno1-2
  • LADeportivo Recoleta1-2
  • WHSportivo Ameliano1-0
  • DACerro Porteno0-0
  • LHNacional Asuncion0-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Deportivo RecoletarecordClub Guarani
2
6
0 draws

Goals

10-18

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

88%

3+ goals

Deportivo Recoleta

Recent
WLLLLW
Wins 2Goals 10-18

Biggest win 3-1

Club Guarani

Recent
LWWWWL
Wins 6Goals 18-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • Deportivo Recoleta2-1Club Guarani
  • Club Guarani3-1Deportivo Recoleta
  • Club Guarani2-1Deportivo Recoleta
  • Deportivo Recoleta2-3Club Guarani
  • Deportivo Recoleta0-3Club Guarani
  • Club Guarani1-3Deportivo Recoleta
  • Club Guarani2-0Deportivo Recoleta
  • Deportivo Recoleta1-3Club Guarani

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.