Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka: the model read
Shimizu S-pulse meet Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League regular season - 16 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. The model makes Shimizu S-pulse the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SHI, 31% draw, 32% AVI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Shimizu S-pulse on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Shimizu S-pulse at 54%; double chance reads Shimizu S-pulse or draw 68%, Avispa Fukuoka or draw 62%.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
Avispa Fukuoka are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Osaka, L 1-2 v Kitakyushu, W 2-1 @ JEF United Chiba, D 2-2 v JEF United Chiba.
Shimizu S-pulse hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
