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Ykkösliiga · Group Stage · Finland

JäPS v KäPa

0-0Full time· Referee: M. Al-Emara

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Match analysisPre-match brief

JäPS v KäPa: the model read

JäPS meet KäPa in the Ykkösliiga group stage.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans JäPS, 48% against 28%. Attacking output favors JäPS on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans JäPS at 59%; double chance reads JäPS or draw 72%, KäPa or draw 59%.

JäPS arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v KäPa, L 0-3 @ PK-35, L 1-2 v Haka, W 1-0 v MP.

KäPa are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ JäPS, L 1-3 v JIPPO, L 1-2 @ Kooteepee, L 0-1 v EIF.

KäPa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: JäPS 0-0 KäPa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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JäPS

LWLLD9-1-10

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 35%

  • DHKäPa0-0
  • LAPK-350-3
  • LHHaka1-2
  • WHMP1-0
  • LAJIPPO0-1

KäPa

LLLLD3-5-12

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • DAJäPS0-0
  • LHJIPPO1-3
  • LAKooteepee1-2
  • LHEIF0-1
  • LAMP1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

JäPSrecordKäPa
3
4
3 draws

Goals

17-20

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

JäPS

Recent
DLLLWW
Wins 3Goals 17-20

Biggest win 3-0

KäPa

Recent
DWWWLL
Wins 4Goals 20-17

Biggest win 5-0

  • JäPS0-0KäPa
  • KäPa3-1JäPS
  • KäPa2-1JäPS
  • JäPS0-1KäPa
  • KäPa2-3JäPS
  • KäPa0-3JäPS
  • JäPS2-2KäPa
  • KäPa5-0JäPS
  • KäPa3-5JäPS
  • JäPS2-2KäPa

Managers

Teemu Kankkunen

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Lari Lummepuro

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.