Where the market is wrong on EIF v Klubi-04
EIF meet Klubi-04 in the Ykkösliiga group stage at Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN, Raseborg. The model makes EIF the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% EIF, 31% draw, 33% KLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans EIF, 40% against 29%. Attacking output favors EIF on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans EIF at 53%; double chance reads EIF or draw 67%, Klubi-04 or draw 63%.
EIF arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ SJK Akatemia, L 0-1 v JäPS, L 1-3 @ Haka, L 0-3 v PK-35.
Klubi-04 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ JäPS, W 2-0 @ KäPa, D 2-2 v Haka, L 0-2 v JIPPO.
EIF hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: EIF 2-1 Klubi-04.
The market prices EIF at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
