KäPa v Klubi-04: the model read
KäPa meet Klubi-04 in the Ykkösliiga group stage at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki. The model makes KäPa the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% KÄP, 31% draw, 32% KLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans KäPa, 43% against 29%. Attacking output favors KäPa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans KäPa at 53%; double chance reads KäPa or draw 68%, Klubi-04 or draw 64%.
KäPa arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ MP, L 1-3 @ Haka, L 0-2 v Klubi-04, D 2-2 v SJK Akatemia.
Klubi-04 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ JäPS, W 2-0 @ KäPa, D 2-2 v Haka, L 0-2 v JIPPO.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: KäPa 0-2 Klubi-04.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
