KäPa v SJK Akatemia: the model read
KäPa meet SJK Akatemia in the Ykkösliiga group stage at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki. The model makes KäPa the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% KÄP, 32% draw, 30% SJK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 35%. Attacking output favors KäPa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans KäPa at 56%; double chance reads KäPa or draw 70%, SJK Akatemia or draw 62%.
KäPa arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ MP, L 1-3 @ Haka, L 0-2 v Klubi-04, D 2-2 v SJK Akatemia.
SJK Akatemia are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v EIF, D 2-2 @ KäPa, D 1-1 v MP, L 0-1 @ JäPS.
SJK Akatemia hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: KäPa 2-2 SJK Akatemia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
