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Copa del Rey · Round of 16 · Spain

Real Sociedad v Osasuna

2-2Full time· Reale Arena, San Sebastian· Referee: César Soto Grado, Spain

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Sociedad v Osasuna: the model read

Real Sociedad meet Osasuna in the Copa del Rey round of 16 at Reale Arena, San Sebastian.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Sociedad on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Real Sociedad arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.

Osasuna are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Getafe, W 2-1 @ Celta Vigo, D 0-0 v Levante, L 0-2 v Al Ain.

Real Sociedad hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad 3-1 Osasuna.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Real Sociedad

LLLLW4-7-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 75%

  • WHEspanyol2-1
  • LAReal Madrid1-4
  • LAReal Betis0-1
  • LAChelsea1-3
  • LA1. FC Köln1-2

Osasuna

LLDWW7-4-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHGetafe1-0
  • WACelta Vigo2-1
  • DHLevante0-0
  • LHAl Ain0-2
  • LANapoli1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Real SociedadrecordOsasuna
5
4
1 draw

Goals

16-11

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Real Sociedad

Recent
WDWWWL
Wins 5Goals 16-11

Biggest win 3-1

Osasuna

Recent
LDLLLW
Wins 4Goals 11-16

Biggest win 2-0

  • Real Sociedad3-1Osasuna
  • Real Sociedad2-2Osasuna
  • Osasuna1-3Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad2-0Osasuna
  • Real Sociedad2-0Osasuna
  • Osasuna2-1Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad0-2Osasuna
  • Real Sociedad1-2Osasuna
  • Real Sociedad0-1Osasuna
  • Osasuna0-2Real Sociedad

Managers

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Luis Ramis

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Burgos2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.