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Copa del Rey · Round of 16 · Spain

Albacete v Real Madrid

3-2Full time· Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete· Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Albacete v Real Madrid: the model read

Albacete meet Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey round of 16 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete.

Real Madrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1477. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Albacete arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Oviedo, L 1-2 v Real Sociedad II, L 1-2 @ Las Palmas, D 1-1 v Real Murcia.

Real Madrid are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.

Albacete hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Albacete 3-2 Real Madrid.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Albacete

WDLLL7-4-9

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LHOviedo0-1
  • LHReal Sociedad II1-2
  • LALas Palmas1-2
  • DHReal Murcia1-1
  • WHEldense1-0

Real Madrid

WWWWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHMalaga4-0
  • WHReal Sociedad4-1
  • WAEspanyol2-1
  • WAFC Schalke 043-0
  • WADeportivo La Coruna1-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

AlbaceterecordReal Madrid
1
0
0 draws

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

5.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Albacete

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 3-2

Real Madrid

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 2-3
  • Albacete3-2Real Madrid

Managers

Alberto Gonzalez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

José Mourinho

Portugal · 62

In charge since 2026 · 10 teams managed

  • Benfica2025–2026
  • Roma2021–2024
  • Tottenham Hotspur2019–2021
  • Manchester United2016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.